Analyzing the Influence of Political Instability on Inflation Dynamics in Pakistan: A Time Series Perspective
Authors:
Shipra Banik (Department of Physical Sciences, Independent University, Ban)
Mosammad Maherun Nesa
Arpita Banik Antu
Abstract

This research investigates the relationship between political instability and inflation rates in Pakistan, utilizing a time series analysis approach. Political instability has long been a significant factor influencing economic performance, particularly inflation, in emerging economies like Pakistan. This study aims to analyze historical data over the past few decades to examine the extent to which political events, such as changes in government, political unrest, and policy shifts, have contributed to inflationary trends in the country. By employing advanced econometric models, including artificial intelligence model, this paper will explore the relation between political instability and inflation rates, providing valuable insights into how political factors impact economic stability. The findings of this study will contribute to the understanding of Pakistan’s economic dynamics and offer policy recommendations for mitigating the adverse effects of political instability on inflation.

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Published in: GCARED 2025 Proceedings
DOI: 10.63169/GCARED2025.p41
Paper ID: GCARED2025-0180